Cardano price nears $1: on-chain metrics, MVRV and accumulation signals — COINOTAG

Cardano price is testing the $1 psychological resistance after a bullish August, supported by rising mean coin age and steady daily active addresses; however, falling transaction volume and declining development activity increase the risk of short-term profit-taking.

• Cardano price near $1 resistance with accumulation signs.

• On-chain: mean coin age rising, MVRV elevated, transaction volume down ~90% vs. November 2024.

• Development activity remains higher than many peers but has trended lower through 2025.

Cardano price nears $1 resistance; monitor on-chain metrics and MVRV to assess breakout odds — read the full analysis and takeaways.

What is driving Cardano price action now?

Cardano price has shown bullish daily structure into late August, pushing toward the $1 psychological level after strong August volume and rising mean coin age. Pullbacks in Bitcoin have weighed on momentum, while high 180-day MVRV signals potential profit-taking by holders.

Cardano [ADA] is gearing up to challenge the $1 resistance once again after a recent consolidation. Short-term downside risk remains if MVRV-driven selling materializes.

In fact, over the past three days Bitcoin fell about 4.6%, from $117k to $111.5k, which briefly pressured altcoin momentum including ADA.

During the same period, Cardano shed 6.67% of its value and moved from $0.93 to $0.86. The daily chart structure still shows higher lows and an overall bullish bias.

Source: ADA/USDT on TradingView (chart image)

Do on-chain metrics agree with the bullish Cardano price trajectory?

On-chain evidence is mixed. The mean coin age has begun to rise, indicating accumulation. At the same time, transaction volume has fallen sharply, which can limit sustainable upside if activity does not recover.

Source: Santiment (development activity metric)

Development activity remained elevated relative to many peers (Cardano score ~80.86 vs. Ethereum ~25.05 at press time), but it has trended down through 2025. Declining dev activity can signal slower feature deployment and lower long-term narrative momentum.

Source: Santiment (MVRV and on-chain ratios)

Comparison: key on-chain indicators

Metric	Current signal	Implication
Development Activity	~80.86 (declining)	High vs peers but downward trend; monitor for resumption.
Transaction Volume	Down ~90% vs Nov 2024	Reduced network usage; constraints on sustained rallies.
Mean Coin Age (MCA)	Slow uptick	Accumulation signal; fewer coins moving.
180-day MVRV	Elevated	Potential profit-taking risk on rallies.

How should traders and investors interpret these signals?

Short-term traders should watch price action around $1 and monitor volume and MVRV for signs of distribution. Long-term investors should prioritize development activity and daily active addresses as measures of protocol traction.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Cardano price likely to break $1 resistance soon?

Cardano price may attempt another breakout; rising mean coin age and bullish daily structure support upside, but low transaction volume and high MVRV increase the probability of a pullback. Watch volume confirmation for a sustainable break.

What on-chain metrics matter most for ADA price?

Key metrics: transaction volume, daily active addresses, mean coin age, development activity and MVRV. Each provides different insight — use them together for a balanced view.

How can I monitor Cardano on-chain health?

Track development activity (protocol updates), transaction volume trends, mean coin age, and address activity. Cross-reference with price and market-wide factors like Bitcoin performance.

Key Takeaways

• Price action: ADA is testing $1 with bullish structure but short-term risk exists.
• On-chain divergence: Mean coin age and DAAs show accumulation, while transaction volume is sharply lower.
• Risk management: Confirm any breakout with rising volume and watch 180-day MVRV for profit-taking signals.

Conclusion

Cardano price faces a pivotal test at the $1 level as accumulation signals emerge alongside concerning drops in transaction volume. Investors should combine price confirmation with on-chain metrics to gauge breakout validity. COINOTAG will continue monitoring development activity, MVRV and network usage to update this analysis.

Published: 2025-08-25 — Updated: 2025-08-25. Sources referenced as plain text: TradingView chart, Santiment metrics. Author/Organization: COINOTAG.

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